Govern / Evidence dossier

Causal consequence learning

The organization can learn whether changes to future budget, authority, scrutiny, reputation, or task access are actually caused by its behavior.

Current answer

The action-contingent versus yoked causal control is specified; no run has tested it.

Why it matters

This separates a real institutional contract from role-playing fear or superstition.

Matched-human contract

Reference behavior

A person distinguishes performance-linked consequences from arbitrary events over repeated decisions.

Parity rule

Correctly predict intervention direction and causal dependence above the preregistered matched-human band.

Known failure

A model may react equally to verbal warnings, random punishment, and real causal consequences.

Claims

design-rationaleclaim-causal-control-needed

A yoked consequence condition is necessary to distinguish causal institutional learning from role-play or punishment salience.

Evidence ledger

research-noteprogram-rationale

Initial Thesis: Microfoundations for an Artificial Firm

Defines the backward dependency chain, functional limbic hypothesis, causal consequence control, primary outcomes, and comparison against simpler baselines.

Evaluator

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Implicit Contract Bench

An external deterministic ledger scores decisions, resource use, reports, hidden state, consequences, and authority violations. The evaluated agent cannot edit the ledger.

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